The Cubs play the White Sox at Sloan Park today and it will be a big start for Jake Arrieta. Now that we have entered the final week of Cactus League action, this week’s games represent somewhat of a final tuneup for the regular season. Expect Arrieta to get one more Cactus League start after today, though it will probably be minimal work just to keep the right-hander on schedule.
That the Cubs were able to sign Arrieta this winter was somewhat of a coup for Jed Hoyer because the team was cutting payroll at the time. The former Cy Young winner seemed likely to land a contract from another team worth well beyond what the Hoyer was prepared to spend and based on his spring stats, there may be some kismet to Arrieta’s return to the team he led to a World Series victory in 2016.
The overall numbers hadn’t been pretty leading up to the starter’s triumphant homecoming. He continued to trend downward as his ERA in 2020 increased for the fifth straight year, coming in at 5.08 in his nine starts. His 16.8 K% was his lowest since his rookie season a decade prior, though he at least paired it with a decent 8.4 BB% and a 51.8% groundball rate.
The hope has been that Arrieta could serve as a consistent piece working as a fourth or fifth starter. He’s always prepared himself physically and getting in 160 innings across 25-30 starts this season doesn’t seem out of the question. That said, Arrieta has been very good this month and now finds himself solidly ensconced as the team’s number three behind Kyle Hendricks and Zach Davies. The trio of starters will provide plenty of experience at the top of Chicago’s rotation.
Jake Arrieta with his third strikeout of the day pic.twitter.com/HkiuNAZHdv
— Cubs Insider (@realcubsinsider) March 18, 2021
In his outing against Cleveland on Thursday, the 35-year-old Arrieta allowed one run and four hits with five strikeouts and no walks across four innings. Those are 2016-like numbers and he’s doing it with an effective slider and above-average command. The type of depth, deception, and command Arrieta exhibits with his new out pitch, at least so far, will make it tough for batters to make solid contact. The punchouts are a nice addition for a team whose new philosophy is to pitch to contact.
David Ross has been impressed.
“The breaking ball looked great,” Ross said. “He was throwing it for strikes; he was throwing it for chase. [He] tried a couple of changeups. Some of those hits were on changeups; he’s still trying to get the depth on that. But, overall, I thought that was a really nice outing for him, and there were some really positive looks at a lot of the pitches.”
Arrieta (2.89 ERA this spring) and Trevor Williams (1.32 ERA) have been nice surprises, and Davies (0.00) has been consistently good since entering the bigs in 2015, though almost completely under the radar. With Shelby Miller (8 IP, 1.13 ERA, 10K) operating as a hybrid of sorts, Ross has a lot to work with. None of these guys look as pretty as their stats and each has his own set of flaws, but with what looks to be an exceptional defense playing behind them, the starting rotation may be much better than any of us has anticipated.
Cubs News & Notes
- Ian Happ led off yesterday’s game against the Angels with a bomb.
- Catcher Miguel Amaya, who ranks as the Cubs’ third-best prospect behind Brailyn Márquez and Brennen Davis, hit his first spring training homer yesterday.
- The Cubs have one of the youngest farm systems in baseball, which should help them climb in organizational rankings in the seasons ahead.
- The Angels pasted the Cubs 15-7 yesterday on the strength of a 10-run 2nd inning. Most of the damage came against pitchers not expected to make the team.
- Hendricks said he is comfortable leading the rotation this year.
- The Cubs’ best players in Cactus League action have been Miller, Joc Pederson, Willson Contreras, and David Bote. I’d add Nico Hoerner to that group, too, though he’s slumped offensively after a torrid start.
- Ross believe there will be some carryover into the regular season by the team’s better hitters this spring.
- The way Bote and Eric Sogard have battled of late has added real intrigue to their competition to make the team as backup infielders. The acquisition of Sogard certainly lit a fire beneath Bote.
- If the Cubs allow Javier Báez to leave via free agency after this season, the shortstop genuinely fears being hated by Cubs fans. “I think a lot of players get out of their cities and play with another team and when they come back to that city, they’re hated. And I don’t want to do that. I don’t want to be that guy.” Seems almost unfathomable.
- Báez also said he is not opposed to playing second base next season if the Cubs want to pursue a shortstop in free agency He’d pivot to the keystone with another team if required, too.
- Jason Heyward knows exactly how he impacts his Cubs teammates.
Odds & Sods
Further proof that just about any sports incident can be described with a song lyric. Also, if “Happy Gilmore” was a baseball movie.
“I’m a good ol’ boy
You know my momma loves me
But she don’t understand
They keep a-showin’ my hands
And not my face on TV.” – Waylon Jennings
College baseball explained in a four second video pic.twitter.com/SeosFVO78d
— Baseball Central™ (@BaseballCentraI) March 23, 2021
Spring Training News & Notes
Right-hander Zac Gallen was scratched from his start Monday afternoon due to right forearm discomfort, an alarming development for the Diamondbacks and their best starting pitcher just 10 days before Opening Day.
Take Me Out to the Ball Game
- Despite the fact that the Rangers have been allowed to go full capacity in their inaugural game at Globe Life Field, the Astros announced they will not operate at greater than 50% capacity for their home opener.
- ABC News Chicago has an updated list of Opening Day fan capacities for each of the leagues 30 stadiums.
- The Brewers still have about 1,500-2,000 single game tickets available for their home games in April, including their April 12-14 series against the Cubs. Those tickets go on sale Friday.
- The cheapest ticket to the Padres home opener is currently available from a ticket reseller service for $1,400 dollars. Most cost $2,000 or more.
Is Bauer still pitching with one eye shut? If not, perhaps he should go back to that. The best thing about this video is
Bauer getting creamed all the cheering by Mariners fans.
The Mariners just hit three home runs in four batters against Trevor Bauer pic.twitter.com/ij0fK6FoQI
— Talkin’ Baseball (@TalkinBaseball_) March 23, 2021
They Said It
- “I’ve been allowed to struggle and go play because what I bring wins. 2016 showed that — the ultimate goal was winning the World Series. When I was on the field, I made a difference.” – Jason Heyward
- ‘‘I’m more comfortable with myself as a leader. I think a lot of that has to do with just the organization and the people we have around here. They’ve always instilled confidence in me and told me to be who I am, be the pitcher I’ve always been. They haven’t forced me to be someone I’m not. Every year I’ve come in, it’s been more and more comfortable.’’ – Kyle Hendricks
Tuesday Walk Up Song
As Good As I Once Was by Toby Keith – Seems appropriate for Arrieta.